Bitcoin price forecast for 2025: achievements, risks, and possible scenarios
Will Bitcoin rise: forecast for 2025
The most optimistic Bitcoin forecast for the year came from Gate.io experts, who believe that Bitcoin's price could reach $180,000 to $200,000 by the end of 2025. Analysts attribute this growth to similar cycles in the past, factoring in the impact of halving the price of "digital gold."
Historically, after each halving, the price of the first cryptocurrency has set a new all-time high (ATH). For example, after the halving in July 2016, Bitcoin's price reached $20,000. And after the May 2020 halving, Bitcoin's all-time high (ATH) was updated to $69,000.
A similar Bitcoin forecast for 2025 was presented by artificial intelligence on the AWX website. According to the neural network's calculations, the potential maximum stands at $150,000, which BTC could reach as early as August.
Bitfinex analysts provided another Bitcoin forecast for the year. They suggest that the price of the leading cryptocurrency could rise to $120,000 — $125,000. According to experts, a weak U.S. employment report may lead to a Federal Reserve rate cut, which could, in turn, result in a corresponding increase in the value of the first cryptocurrency.
Analysts also consider other positive factors, including the influence of Bitcoin ETFs and the inflow of institutional investments. According to analytics service Coinglass, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin ETFs has reached nearly $128 billion, accounting for approximately 6% of the market capitalization of the leading cryptocurrency.
It is worth noting that major companies have increased their investment activity in Bitcoin. For example, in 2025, MicroStrategy acquired 13,390 BTC worth $1.34 billion. As of June 2025, the total amount of Bitcoin held in MicroStrategy wallets reached 580,250 BTC (~$62.5 billion), making the company one of the six largest holders of the first cryptocurrency.
Despite the rise in institutional investments and optimistic forecasts, some analysts note that Bitcoin's price may undergo a short-term correction before reaching new historical highs.
In their opinion, Bitcoin's price could fall to the $100,000 — $104,000 range. For instance, after a public conflict between Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk and current U.S. President Donald Trump, Bitcoin's price temporarily dropped to $103,800.
Should we expect a Bitcoin price drop in 2025?
Not all experts are optimistic about the value of the first cryptocurrency: some analysts provide a pessimistic Bitcoin forecast for 2025. Investors are concerned about the rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), with the report expected to be released on June 11. Analysts forecast the index to increase by 0.3% month-over-month and by 2.3% year-over-year.
According to experts, an increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) could indicate rising inflation in the United States. In turn, inflation may reduce the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Ultimately, rising inflation and a potential Fed rate hike could trigger the following Bitcoin correction.
Additionally, new trade tariffs are expected to be introduced in the United States in July, which may impact global economic stability. Previously, in March 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the imposition of new trade tariffs on imports from several countries, which led to a short-term drop in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
Just three days before the expected implementation date of the new import tariffs, the price of the first cryptocurrency fell nearly 9% — from $83,500 to $76,200. However, Trump eventually postponed the decision to impose tariffs by 90 days due to the risk of a global financial crisis, after which Bitcoin's price rebounded and even reached a new ATH.
Cointelegraph experts note that the key BTC price level for investors to watch is $100,000. In their view, if Bitcoin fails to hold this level, its price may undergo a more significant correction.
Moreover, well-known trader Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that the upward trend of the first cryptocurrency has lasted for 900 days. In such a situation, increased caution is usually warranted.
On the other hand, according to technical analyst SuperBro, if Bitcoin's price breaks through the critically important support level of $109,000, the next surge could push the cryptocurrency to $140,000 — $150,000.